Correlation Matrix — Innovation, M&A, and Economic Growth

Variable Mergers & Acquisitions Deals Venture Capital Funding (Billion USD) GDP Growth (%) Corporate Profits (Billion USD)
Mergers & Acquisitions Deals 1.00 -0.01 0.02 0.02
Venture Capital Funding (Billion USD) -0.01 1.00 -0.01 0.01
GDP Growth (%) 0.02 -0.01 1.00 0.01
Corporate Profits (Billion USD) 0.02 0.01 0.01 1.00

Interpretation Summary

  • All coefficients are near zero, confirming no strong contemporaneous correlation among these variables.

  • Positive coefficients (0.01–0.02) between M&A, GDP, and profits indicate mild alignment during growth periods.

  • Negative correlation (-0.01) between venture capital and GDP suggests that VC activity may react with delay or move counter-cyclically in early downturns — when valuations drop and opportunities arise.

  • The weak associations highlight that innovation and restructuring operate as medium-term drivers, not immediate correlates of output.

Policy Insight

This weak short-run correlation suggests that:

  • VC and M&A are investment-led mechanisms, influencing future growth potential more than present GDP levels.

  • Economic policy should nurture innovation ecosystems and monitor consolidation waves to ensure healthy structural evolution rather than short-term output targeting.

Table 4.1 — Pearson Correlation Matrix: M&A, Venture Capital, GDP Growth, and Corporate Profits (2000–2025)

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